2353: Booms, Doom, and the Real Picture: 2026 Prediction: Looking at the Data, Don't Expect Affordable Housing or a Booming Economy
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2353: Booms, Doom, and the Real Picture: 2026 Prediction: Looking at the Data, Don't Expect Affordable Housing or a Booming Economy
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Jason focuses on the housing market and broader economic trends. He shares parts of a video by a financial YouTuber named Brian Kim, who presents data on home prices and mortgage interest rates, arguing that the market is resilient despite localized drops and that prices will likely continue to rise due to Federal Reserve rate cuts and quantitative easing. Jason, who agrees with Brian's prediction of improving conditions for real estate investors and a decline in mortgage rates, adds context regarding serious delinquency rates and layoffs in the labor market, suggesting that corporate efficiency and the desire for more material goods have historically counteracted automation's potential to cause mass unemployment. They both conclude that the current environment is favorable for buying a home, especially for investors, and dismiss the likelihood of an imminent housing market crash.
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Key Takeaways:
0:00 Brian Kim UPDATE on the housing market
24:58 SFH delinquency rates
27:43 FED to cut interest rates
30:59 How tech was and now is changing lives
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